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Fabrury Consumer Confidence Posts Biggest Drop Since 2021 in Latest Sign of Slowing Economy

Consures Grew more Pessimistic About The Economic Outlook in February as Worries Brewed About A Slowing Economy and Rising Inflation, The Conference Board Reported Tuesday.

The Board’s Consumer confidence index Slipped to 98.3 for the month, down 7 points and below the down Jones forecast for 102.3. This was the lowest reading since June 2024 and the largest monthly Drop Since August 2021.

“Views of Current Labor Market Conditions Weakened. Consures Pessimistic About Future Future Business Conditions And Less Optimistic About Future Income,” Said Stephanie guichard, the boy Economist for Global Indicators. “Pessimism about future implication protuspects Worsned and reached a ten-month high.”

The Decline in Consumer Confidence Comes With President Donald Trump Threatening additional tarifs against us trading partners. Trump said monday that duties against canada and mexico “will go forward” in March after a delay in February.

Economists worry that the tariffs could spark another round of inflation at a time when the federal reserve is considering with of Trump’s Aggressive Fiscal and Trade Policy Moves.

Consures are worked as well: 12-month inflation expectations jumped to 6%, up from 5.2% the Prior month and well ahead of the federal reserve’s 2% Goal.

“This increase likely reflected a mix of factors, include sticky inflation but also the recent jump in pris of key household staples like eggs and the expected impact of tariffs,” Guichard SAID. “There was a sharp increase in the mentions of trade and tariffs, back to a level unseen since 2019.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Cautioned About The Potential for Slow Growth and “Sticky” Inflation. He blamed the biden administration for fostering an economy dependent too much on government spending and said the plan now is to build a more diverse economy through tax cuts, deregulation and tariffs.

“The Previous Administration’s Over-Reliance on Excessive Government Speaking and Overbearing Regulation Left Us With An Economy That May Have Exhibited Some Reasonable Metrics Butry Underneath, and heading for an unstable equilibrium, “Bessent said.

Stocks Briefly Moved Lower Following the conference board release while treasury yields added to a sharp slide on the day. The 10-Year Treasury Yield, A Traditional Barometer for Growth Expectations, Fell Nearly 10 Basis Points, or 0.1 Percentage Point, to 4.29%.

“We should expect some short-term behavioral shifts with the consumer,” Wrote Jeffrey Roach, Chief Us Economist at LPL Financial. “Consures are Increasingly Nervous about the unknown impacts from potential tariffs and bill pull forward consumer demand as they anticipate for prices for important in the near future.”

Thought Most Economic Indicators Reflect Continued Growth, The Conference Board Gauge Matches Other Recent Surveys Showing Waning Waning Confidence. Last Week, The University of Michigan Reported A Larger-That-Expected Monthly Decrease of Nearly 10% in February While The five-Yaar Influence Outlook Among Responders HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS HITS

In the conference board survey, The Decline Came Across Age Groups and Income Levels. The survey covered the time period up to Feb. 19.

Along with the overall drop in confidence, the expectations index tumbled 9.3 points to a 72.9 reading, the first time since June 2024 that measure has fallen beLow the Level CONCESTING. However, The Current Conditions Measured Improved Somewhat, with 19.6% Saying Conditions Are “Good,” Up 1.1 Percentage Points from January.

At the same time, a closely watched measure of the labor market was a worsening, with 33.4% saying That compared to respective readings of 33.9% and 14.5% in January.

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